Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Do financial experts really help you to take an informed decision?

ABC* is on a roll since the beginning of the second quarter of the current fiscal year. The stock witnessed sharp volatility in the last few days, though it gave up most of its gains. Technically, the stock is showing signs of good movement in the short term, but I think with a long term perspective, there are better bets available in the market.

I thought I understood that. But did I? Please help me what did the "expert" mean by those simple sentences. Let me try to deconstruct those simple lines.....
  1. On a roll: I think this stock is rocking, buy!
  2. since the beginning of the second quarter of the current fiscal year: Oh, it is a recent phenomena and what happened before that, we don't know. Doubt!
  3. sharp volatility: looks scary.
  4. gave up most of its gains: Bad, I have to rethink whether the stock is rocking!
  5. showing signs of good movement: Good, after all it's a Buy recommendation after all.
  6. with a long term, there are better bets: Doubt again about the stock.
The expert has done his job. He has told me nothing and still is called an "expert". Moreover the leading daily also warns you that they are not responsible for your decisions.

There is a bigger issue of the subprime mess. Is there some accountability for the top dogs of financial services industry, the highly rated experts, who are responsible for the crisis?

*ABC is a stock which is real and the recommendation as above is verbatim.

What they teach you is to "Take responsibility for your own financial decisions"

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Monday, November 26, 2007

Comparison Chart of ETFs in India

The Scott Adams unified theory says that invest 70% of your money in a stock index fund and 30% in a bond fund through any discount broker and never touch it until retirement. Let's check out some important data on expenses and return for the ETFs available in India

ETF Report as on November 24, 2007

Scheme Name

NAV (23-Nov-2007)

Expense Ratio (30-09-07)

Simple Annualised Return (%)

1 Year

3 Years

Since Inception

Bank BeES

899.50

0.55

44.5

69.2

72.9

Gold BeES

1043.49

1

--

--

14.5

ICICI SENSEX Prudential ETF

192.92

0.8

37.4

71.2

97.4

Junior BeES

111.39

1

54.8

63.1

110.2

Kotak Gold ETF

1046.57

--

--

--

53.1

Liquid BeES

1000.00

0.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

Nifty BeES

567.06

0.8

40.8

64.5

75.0

PSU Bank BeES

293.74

--

--

--

34522.1

Reliance Gold ETF - Dividend

1039.70

--

--

--

15590.5

Reliance Gold ETF - Growth

--

--

--

--

--

UTI's SUNDER

575.53

0.5

43.5

66.3

108.5

UTI Gold ETF

1045.28

--

--

--

6.6

Indices

S&P Nifty

5608.60

42.1

64.9

BSE Sensex

18852.87

37.7

70.8

Crisil Liquid Fund Index

1348.40

7.3

6.3

BSE PSU

9502.09

51.2

48.2

CNX Nifty Junior

10949.10

55.0

62.5

Source and thanks to Sunita Pawar, Customer Care Manager, Bench Mark Mutual Funds for the immediate response to our email

Sunday, November 25, 2007

The Real Story of Expert Fund Managers and Advisors

Here is a profile of a successful American Stock Broker

Some excerpts, but you must see the full article

For Blaine Lourd, the mere fact that he landed in the middle of this industry and became a success was reason enough to hate himself.

Blaine twisted himself into ever more intricate knots to disguise his inability to pick winning stocks or money managers, his antithesis was rising.

............. founded in 1981 on a simple idea: Nobody knows. Nobody knows which stock is going to go up. Nobody knows what the market as a whole is going to do, not even Warren Buffett. A handful of people with amazing track records isn’t evidence that people can game the market. Nobody knows which company will prove a good long-term investment.

Even Buffett’s genius lies more in running businesses than in picking stocks. But in the investing world, that is ignored. Wall Street, with its army of brokers, analysts, and advisers funneling trillions of dollars into mutual funds, hedge funds, and private equity funds, is an elaborate fraud.
Got the link from Ajay Shah's Blog
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Saturday, November 24, 2007

What are the different charges of a ULIP?

Unit linked Insurance Plans (ULIP) provide the twin benefit of providing the benefits of investing in the stock market and covering your risks. It is important to understand that a Unit Linked Life Insurance product is different from the traditional insurance products and are subject to the risk factors.

The premium paid in Unit Linked Life Insurance policies are subject to investment risks associated with capital markets and the NAVs of the units may go up or down based on the performance of fund and factors influencing the capital market and the insured is responsible for his/her decisions.

Other than the fact that the investment risk in investment portfolio is borne by the policyholder, let us take a look at the different charges in a ULIP.

Particulars

LIC

ICICI Pru

HDFC Standard

Bajaj Allianz

Plan name

Profit Plus

Lifetime Gold

HDFC Unit link

UnitGain Plus Gold

Premium allocation

24%

20%

70%

25%

Mortality Charges (/1000 )

1.80 for age 35

1.46 for age 30

NA

1.74 for age 30

Fund Management Charges

0.75% for Bond

1.50% for growth

0.75 % for preserver to 2.25% for multiplier

0.80%

0.95% for Bond, 1.75 % for growth

Policy Charges

Rs 60 per month in first year, Rs 20 after that.

No other charges, but FMC can be raised to 3.5%

Rs 20 per month for administration

Rs 600 per annum inflating at 5% per annum

Switching charges

4 free, Rs 100 after four

4 free, Rs 100 after four

24 in a year free, Rs 100 after that.

3 free, Rs 100 after that

Miscellaneous charges

Rs 50 for alteration

Switching can increase to Rs 200

Charges for revival, withdrawal, etc at Rs 250 per request.

Rs 100 per transaction for revival, etc

There are a few parameters like the flexibility of premium paying term, the amount of cover available for disability, illness and accident which has a wider variation among the Insurers.

I dislike the heavy premium allocation being charged. Out of the Rs 100 you pay to your Insurer, only Rs 70 odd goes to your investments (Rs30 in case of HDFC!!)


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Friday, November 23, 2007

What factors to look for in a Mutual Fund scheme?

There are more than 700 odd Mutual fund schemes in India. What should be the other factors to look for in a Mutual Fund scheme before you sign the cheque and hand over to your MF Advisor?

This table could be a starting point


Thursday, November 22, 2007

Top ten Mutual Funds on a 5 year return basis

Top Mutual Fund schemes in Equity Diversified category based on 5 year returns as on 20th November, 2007

Scheme Name

Launch date

5 year return (%)

Reliance Growth

Oct 07, 1995

72.57

Magnum Contra

Jul 03, 1999

71.08

Magnum Global

Sep 22, 1994

69.66

Sundaram BNP Paribas Select Midcap

Jul 19, 2002

68.93

Magnum Multiplier Plus

Feb 20, 1993

64.97

Birla Sun Life Equity

Aug 27, 1998

64.63

Taurus Starshare

Jan 29, 1994

64.29

DSPML Equity Fund

Apr 15, 1997

63.60

Birla Sun Life Basic Industries

Jan 15, 2000

62.22

Reliance Vision

Oct 07, 1995

61.68

DSPML Opportunities

Apr 10, 2000

61.08


Source: ValueResearchOnline